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Spatial Statistics

Spatial statistics is a central component of spatial analysis because it provides methods for identifying, modeling, and explaining spatial patterns and processes. A spatial process refers to a phenomenon whose values, relationships, or interactions vary across geographic space rather than occurring independently of location.

Broadly, spatial regression models can be divided into two major groups. The first includes global spatial regression models, such as spatial lag, spatial error, Spatial Durbin, and related specifications. These models account for spatial dependence by recognizing that nearby observations may influence one another. However, they still estimate a single coefficient for each predictor across the entire study area. As a result, they can model spatial dependence but do not directly reveal how the relationship between a predictor and an outcome varies from place to place.

The second group includes spatially varying coefficient models, whose primary objective is to allow regression relationships to vary across space. Instead of estimating one coefficient per predictor for the entire study region, these models estimate location-specific coefficients, enabling researchers to examine how the effect of a predictor changes among observations or geographic locations. This broader class includes frequentist approaches, Bayesian spatially varying coefficient models, spatial filtering approaches, and, more recently, methods based on machine learning and deep learning. Together, these approaches provide increasingly flexible ways to characterize spatial heterogeneity and complex geographic relationships.

Three maps illustrating spatial heterogeneity in predictor–outcome relationships
Figure 1. Spatial heterogeneity in the relationship between predictors and the outcome variable.

In the second group, also known as local spatial regression models, two broad types of models have been developed within each methodological class: single-scale and multiscale models. Single-scale models assume that all predictor–outcome relationships operate over the same spatial scale, typically represented by a common bandwidth or neighborhood structure. In contrast, multiscale models allow each predictor to operate at its own spatial scale, recognizing that different processes may vary over different geographic extents. This distinction is important because some relationships may be highly localized, while others may reflect broader regional or even near-global spatial patterns.

(a)Single-scale spatial regression model
(b)Multiscale spatial regression model
Figure 2. Single-scale (a) and multiscale (b) spatial regression models.

My research on spatial regression models focuses on advancing the conceptual understanding of how relationships between variables vary across space and how different forms of spatial relatedness can be represented within local modeling frameworks. In particular, I have worked on extending geographically weighted regression by incorporating not only geographic proximity but also similarity in attribute space, leading to the development of Similarity-Based Geographically Weighted Regression (SGWR) and its multiscale extension (M-SGWR). Conceptually, this work is motivated by the idea that spatial processes may be shaped not only by where observations are located, but also by how similar or connected they are in other dimensions. Geographic distance represents only one form of proximity, whereas meaningful relationships may also emerge through social, functional, network, behavioral, or attribute-based proximity, depending on the context. My study in this domain aimed to expand the concept and theory of proximity beyond the predominantly geographic interpretation used in conventional spatial analysis.

Comparison of true coefficients, M-SGWR estimates, and MGWR estimates
Figure 3. Coefficient estimation based on purely geographic proximity (MGWR) and a combination of geographic proximity with data-attribute proximity.

Selected references

  1. M. Naser Lessani, Li, Z., Yu, M., Greatrex, H., & Chen, C. Spatially Varying Coefficient Models in Spatial Statistics: A Comprehensive Review and Synthesis. Annals of GIS, 1–35. DOI
  2. M. Naser Lessani, Li, Z., Yu, M., Greatrex, H., & Shen, C. Multiscale Similarity and Geographically Weighted Regression (M-SGWR). 2025. arXiv
  3. M. Naser Lessani, & Li, Z. SGWR: Similarity and geographically weighted regression. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 1–24 · Most-read IJGIS article of 2024. DOI
  4. M. Naser Lessani, & Li, Z. Enhancing the computational efficiency of the SGWR model and introducing its software implementation. Annals of GIS, 1–16. DOI
  5. Fotheringham, A. S., Oshan, T. M., & Li, Z. Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression: Theory and Practice. Book
  6. Chi, G., & Zhu, J. Spatial Regression Models for the Social Sciences. SAGE Publications, 2019. Book

Additional studies in this research area are available on the Publications page.